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Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots odds, lines, picks and best bets.
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The New England Patriots (9-1) host the Dallas Cowboys (6-4) Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET on FOX. We analyze the Patriots-Cowboys odds and lines, providing sports betting NFL picks and advice around this key Week 12 matchup.
Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots: Week 12 preview, betting trends and notes.
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The Patriots barely bested the Philadelphia Eagles last week, winning 17-10. It wasn’t pretty, and QB Tom Brady didn’t look sharp, hitting just 55.3% of his 47 passing attempts. The Cowboys were given a run for their money from a bunch of Detroit Lions’ backups, but Dallas was able to pull out the 35-27 victory. Dallas QB Dak Prescott has thrown for three touchdowns in each of the past three games. The Patriots are 2nd best vs. the pass, allowing 152.6 yards/game. They’ve only given up four passing touchdowns all season, so this will be a big key to the game. These teams haven’t met since 2015 and the Patriots have won the last five games, dating back to ’99. Dallas had won the previous seven encounters. The Patriots are the No. 1 defense in the league, allowing just 10.8 points and 249.9 yards per game. Dallas is the No. 1 offensive team, averaging 444.6 yards per game. Dallas is 4th in points scored at 28.6 points/game. The Cowboys allow 322.1 yards/game, seventh best in the league, and are tied at seventh allowing 19.7 points/game. The Patriots average 359.9 yards/game offensively, 16th best in the league, yet they are third at 28.7 points/game. They just haven’t looked good recently and their ground game needs a major boost.
Cowboys at Patriots: Key injuries.
Brady (elbow) was a surprise injury report addition Friday, when he was limited. He is questionable. His top three receivers are also questionable, as Julian Edelman (shoulder), Mohamed Sanu Sr. (ankle) and Phillip Dorsett II (concussion) were all limited Friday.
The Cowboys are relatively healthy, but keep an eye on WR Amari Cooper , who has dealt with a knee issue.
Cowboys at Patriots: Odds, betting lines and prediction.
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:00 p.m. ET.
Prediction.
Patriots 24, Cowboys 20.
Moneyline (?)
Against the Spread (?)
Over/Under (?)
Dallas is 7-3 vs. the O/U, while New England is 3-7. Something has to give, and it likely won’t be the New England defense. Continue to ride the UNDER (-125) with this set at 46.5.
Ryan’s NFL-pick record: 21-10.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.


New England Patriots Betting Guide.
Schedule, Odds, And Predictions.
The New England Patriots winning the AFC East and playing in January has been a staple in the NFL since 2001; just twice had they not won their division since then and just once had they missed the playoffs. Though the Pats were able to move right past the last couple times, 2020 seems different. Could this be the end of the dynasty? Or will Bill Belichick reload his team and get back to their winning ways?
One thing seems clear– Cam Newton is not a long term fix. The former-MVP has not played up to par and he reportedly will not return to the team for the 2021-22 season. Staple players like Pro Bowl center David Andrews , running back Rex Burkhead , and pass rusher Adam Butler are unrestricted free agents this coming year; corner J.C. Jackson is a restricted free agent. This coming offseason will be of particular interest in how the future of the Patriots is shaped.
New England Patriots odds.
Best Patriots betting site(s)
Patriots futures odds.
Patriots Super Bowl odds.
The New England Patriots were eliminated from the AFC Playoff picture for the first time in 11 years.
AFC East odds.
For the first time since 2008– and just the second time since 2001– the Patriots did not win the AFC East.
New England Patriots 2020 schedule and betting odds.
Week Date Time Opponent Opening Spread 1 Sunday, Sept. 13 1:00 ET vs. Miami Patriots -6.5 2 Sunday, Sept. 20 8:20 ET at Seattle Seahawks -3.5 3 Sunday, Sept. 27 1:00 ET vs. Las Vegas Patriots -5 4 Sunday, Oct. 4 4:25 ET at Kansas City Chiefs -8 5 Sunday, Oct. 11 1:00 ET vs. Denver Patriots -5 6 BYE 7 Sunday, Oct. 25 4:25 ET vs. San Francisco 49ers -2 8 Sunday, Nov. 1 1:00 ET at Buffalo Bills -1.5 9 Monday, Nov. 9 8:15 ET at NY Jets Patriots -4 10 Sunday, Nov. 15 8:20 ET vs. Baltimore Ravens -3.5 11 Sunday, Nov. 22 1:00 ET at Houston Patriots -1.5 12 Sunday, Nov. 29 1:00 ET vs. Arizona Patriots -7 13 Sunday, Dec. 6 4:25 ET at LA Chargers Patriots -2.5 14 Thursday, Dec. 10 8:20 ET at LA Rams Rams -1 15 Sunday, Dec. 20 1:00 ET at Miami Patriots -5.5 16 Monday, Dec. 28 8:15 ET vs. Buffalo Patriots -2 17 Sunday, Jan. 3 1:00 ET vs. NY Jets TBD.
How to bet on the New England Patriots.
Futures.
For years, the Patriots have been one of the most popular options in the NFL futures market. These bets refer to season-long options such as a team’s win total, or betting that they will win the conference or the Super Bowl.
Moneyline.
There should still be plenty of value when betting the Patriots in individual games. The most simple way to bet the Pats would be to take the moneyline, which means picking a winning team without a point spread. Bettors get varying odds on the moneyline based on how lopsided the matchup may be, and for example, the Pats were a whopping -1117 in their regular season finale against the Dolphins last season. Of course, Miami won that game, meaning a bet on the Dolphins would’ve paid off handsomely, whereas a $100 bet on the Pats would’ve only paid a profit of $11 if successful.
Point spread.
Total (over/under)
The point total refers to the over/under line set by books. The Patriots routinely went under their point total last season because their defense was so strong and their offense struggled. That trend could reverse this season if they struggle on both sides of the ball. Keep an eye on their totals and look for value.
Prop bets.
DraftKings has a pre-season prop bet on Newton and whether or not he can put up better numbers than the man he is replacing, Brady, this season. Cam is also getting considerable Comeback Player of the Year buzz.
Parlays and teasers.
You can always string bets together in the form of parlays or teasers. Usually during busy Sundays, bettors can parlay several teams to win or cover against the spread and if all bets are successful, the payouts are multiplied. Teasers function similarly, except they allow bettors to move each point spread to a more favorable line in exchange for diminished odds.
Patriots 2019 recap.
Record: 12-4 ATS: 8-7-1.
Last season, the Patriots went 12-4 before losing in the playoffs. They were an even 8-8-1 against the spread (ATS) and were favored in each of those games. After starting 9-1 overall and 7-3 ATS, they dropped 4 of their last 6 and went 1-6 ATS over their last 7 games. Patriots games topped the assigned point total 7 times in 17 contests, with their defense finishing atop the league in most meaningful categories.
New England topped its assigned win total (11.5) but most offensive players came up well short of their propositions. Tom Brady tossed 24 touchdowns, well short of his 29.5-touchdown prop and he came up around 100 yards short of his prop for 4,150.5 passing yards. Julian Edelman finished right at his prop with six receiving TDs. Stephon Gilmore cashed in on his rising odds to be named Defensive Player of the Year.
Patriots 2020 offseason moves.
Key trades : S Duron Harmon (to DET) Key re-signings: CB Devin McCourty (two years, $23M); WR/ST Matthew Slater (two years, $5.3m) Key free-agent losses: QB Tom Brady (to TB); LB Kyle Van Noy (to MIA); LB Jamie Collins (to DET); DT Danny Shelton (to DET); LB Elandon Roberts (to MIA) Key free-agent signings: Cam Newton, QB (from CAR); Lamar Miller, RB (from HOU); Damiere Byrd, WR (from ARI); Beau Allen, DT (from TB); Brandon Copeland, DE (from NYJ), Adrian Phillips, S (from LAC) Key draft picks: S Kyle Dugger (2nd round), DE Josh Uche (2nd round), LB Anfernee Jennings (3rd round), TE Dalton Keene (3rd round)
Losing Brady and adding Newton are the clear headliners, but the Patriots also lost their best linebacker in Dont’a Hightower as Hightower opted to sit out the season due to worries about COVID-19. Danny Shelton is also gone, and Shelton played a huge role as a run-stopping tackle on a defense that allowed the second-fewest rushing TDs (0.5) per game last season. Retaining McCourty and signing Phillips to replace Harmon should help the Patriots remain elite in pass defense, but they’re bound to struggle in the intermediate areas.
Belichick and the front office did bolster their diminished defense by drafting a top pass rusher in Uche and a solid OLB in Jennings. The Pats provided a head-scratcher by taking a DII safety in Dugger in the second round, but likely have eyes on him for a special teams role immediately.


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Patriots vs. Cowboys: Betting odds, analysis and prediction.
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The battle for the title of America’s Team takes center stage on Sunday when the New England Patriots return to Gillette stadium for a head-to-head showdown with the Dallas Cowboys.
Move over Deontay Wilder, this is the real heavyweight fight of the weekend.
The Patriots hope the long-awaited return of left tackle Isaiah Wynn will finally settle down a struggling offense that has made quarterback Tom Brady the unhappiest man in the room. Never mind the fact that the team is 9-1 and in control of the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoff picture. Brady has been around long enough to know what a championship offense looks like, but even a blind man could see this isn’t it.
The bright side is he won’t have to stand toe-to-toe with the No. 1-ranked defense like Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott. There were too many skeptics ready to jump the gun when the Patriots got rolled by the Baltimore Ravens. Then they went on the road and held the Philadelphia Eagles to 10 points after shutting them out for the entire second half of the game. It’s safe to say there’s nothing imaginary about The Boogeymen.
The Patriots will enter this marquee match-up with the Cowboys as -5.5 favorites with the over/under being 46.5.
Why you should pick the Patriots.
Gillette Stadium has long been the NFL’s version of the Upside Down world for opposing quarterbacks. There is a long list of great players that have looked strangely ordinary when stepping onto the field against what has typically been a subpar defense.
But not this year.
The Patriots are at home and spearheaded by a defense that could be mentioned among the all-time great units when everything is said and done. It is expected to be a cold, rainy mess of a November Sunday in Foxborough to remind Prescott and the Cowboys what outdoor football really feels like.
There isn’t one signature win from the Cowboys on the road this season. Quite the contrary, they’ve had some ugly showings in losses to the New York Jets and a New Orleans Saints team without Drew Brees at quarterback. It took a herculean effort from Prescott just to carry them past a Detroit Lions team with Jeff Driskel at quarterback last week.
The Patriots should finally be able to get the running game going with Wynn back in at left tackle. For all of the talk about Brady’s lack of receiving targets, the key that unlocked the team’s Super Bowl run last season was dominating at the line of scrimmage and handing the ball off to running back Sony Michel.
Why you should pick the Cowboys.
Leighton Vander Esch being ruled out of this game with a neck injury is a huge loss for the Cowboys, but the sputtering Patriots offense hasn’t looked like much of a threat since their Week 2 win over the Miami Dolphins. Those were the good, old days when the team had Antonio Brown, Josh Gordon, Julian Edelman and Phillip Dorsett at receiver.
They’ll likely just have Edelman on Sunday.
At least from a Patriots perspective, the Brown saga seems to be dead in the water, and Gordon is now catching passes from Russell Wilson in a Seattle Seahawks uniform. Dorsett still hasn’t been cleared from concussion protocol, and Mohamed Sanu, the team’s “big-ticket” free agent option, is hobbled with an ankle injury. Throw a frustrated Brady into the mix, and things could get bad on Sunday.
The Cowboys could bludgeon a generous Patriots defensive front with running back Ezekiel Elliott coming out of the backfield. He’ll certainly provide a much stiffer test than they saw with Miles Sanders and the Eagles. We’ve also seen the Patriots defense struggle against the rushing attack in games against the Ravens and Cleveland Browns.
Elliott has the potential to setup the necessary body blows for Prescott to land the knockout over the top with receivers Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup.
Trends.
Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after earning more than 350 total yards in the previous game. Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after earning more than 250 yards passing in the previous game. Cowboys are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring over 30 points in the previous game.
Prediction.
The smart pick is the Cowboys and the under on Sunday.
Brady’s top receivers could be Edelman, Jakobi Meyers and N’Keal Harry against a Cowboys defense that ranks seventh in yards allowed this season. Meyers is an undrafted rookie that worked his way onto the team, and Harry is a rookie first-round draft pick only playing in his second NFL game. The degree of difficulty for Brady and company is reaching asinine levels of ridiculous.
Foxborough serving as the backdrop and the Patriots’ terrifying defense wouldn’t give me much confidence in picking the Cowboys to outright win this game, but they are good enough to keep it closer than a touchdown.
Wynn being back on the field isn’t going to magically snap the Patriots back into being a dominate offense again. The Cowboys will find some success with their running attack in a game where I can see them coming away with at least two touchdowns. It won’t be the air raid we’ve seen from them in previous weeks, but they’ll at least move the ball enough to be competitive.
The resourceful Patriots will ultimately figure out a way to win at home, but I’m still taking the Cowboys and the points on Sunday.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.


Cowboys vs. Patriots odds, prediction, betting trends for Week 12 matchup.
The Cowboys (6-4) have been very inconsistent this season but they have a big opportunity in Week 12 against the Patriots (9-1) at Gillette Stadium on Sunday afternoon (4:25 p.m. ET, Fox).
Dallas leads the NFC East by a game and a head-to-head tiebreaker over Philadelphia, while New England leads the AFC East by two games and a head-to-head tiebreaker over Buffalo.
The Patriots just dispatched the Eagles in Week 11, while the Cowboys got a much-needed rebound win at the Lions. Dak Prescott and Dallas' offense is red-hot, while Tom Brady has some frustrations over New England's offense.
Here's everything to know about betting on Cowboys vs. Patriots, including updated odds, trends and our prediction for the Week 12 matchup.
Cowboys vs. Patriots odds.
Spread: Patriots by 6.5 Point total: 45.5 Odds: Cowboys -105, Patriots -105.
The Cowboys have been around touchdown underdogs on the road since the initial lines were released. The Patriots saw the number go up to 7 in their favor earlier in the week. The Patriots are about the level of favorites they were against the Ravens, plus the three default points for home-field advantage.
Cowboys vs. Patriots all-time series.
The Patriots haven't lost this century to the Cowboys, going 5-0 since 1999. Before then, the Cowboys had won the previous seven meetings. This is the first time the Patriots will face the Cowboys with Prescott and running back Ezekiel Elliott. With Brady as their quarterback in four regular-season games against the Cowboys, the Patriots have won by an average margin of more than 15 points.
Three trends to know.
— Spread bettors are split 50-50 on taking the Cowboys or Patriots. The Cowboys are attention from 66 percent of moneyline bettors to win straight up.
— The Cowboys have won and covered in three of their past four games. The Patriots have won in covered in five of the past six games.
— 52 percent of bettors like the point total to go over, despite the Patriots' offensive limitations and defensive strengths. Both teams are scoring nearly 29 points per game, however.
Three things to watch.
Brady and his receivers.
Josh Gordon is gone. There are rumors of Antonio Brown coming back, but not this week. The Patriots will be without Mohamed Sanu, who hurt his ankle against the Eagles. Phillip Dorsett may not play with a concussion. So expect Brady to go often to his two most trusted pass-catchers, Julian Edelman and James White, looking for them to create mismatches against linebackers and defensive backs.
Dak and his receivers.
Prescott leads the NFL in passing yards with 3,221 after throwing for 444 yards to reflect his jersey number three times over in Detroit. He's reeled off three consecutive three passing-TD games. Top wideout Amari Cooper should be healthier this week for his tough matchup with cornerback Stephon Gilmore, and second-year No. 2 MIchael Gallup and veteran slot man Randall Cobb each went for more than 100 yards last week. The backs and tight ends also have been involved at the right times. The Patriots' secondary is deep, but it will draw its biggest test of the season by far.
Jason Garrett vs. Bill Belichick.
Garrett tends to go conservative at the wrong times, and it has cost the Cowboys some big games. Their losses this season are against the Packers, Saints, Vikings and Jets. Garrett needs to let offensive coordinator Kellen Moore push the gas pedal with Prescott and not play a ball-control game given the Patriots don't have the firepower to keep up should the Cowboys throw themselves to a lead.
Stat that matters.
The Patriots have the No. 10-ranked run defense in the NFL in terms of average yards allowed per game at 97.3. But when you look at the average yards per carry of 4.6, that's No. 24 in the NFL. The Cowboys haven't had the typical monster rushing games from Ezekiel Elliott, partly because they have great trust in Prescott throwing often. But they average 4.6 yards per carry when they do run the ball.
Cowboys vs. Patriots prediction.
This game should live up to the expectations as an instant classic between two very talented teams. The Cowboys' offense is too loaded with a strong running game and mobile QB to think the Patriots will dominate there, much like the struggles in the Ravens matchup. The Patriots' offense is compressed with a sputtering running game and no deep passing game, which works well for the Cowboys' talented back seven. The teams will meet in the middle with the points scored here, with Dallas pulling off the considerable upset.




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