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п»їNFL Betting Odds.
ATS NFL Odds Explanation: NFL Betting Lines.
Watch the NFL long enough at a bar or restaurant and some stranger will ask you that question. Your friends should already know.
That stranger may or may not know what the spread means. You may even be that stranger. The first step in betting on football is to know what the terminology means. That means knowing things like spread, money line, and total. That means knowing the different bet types.
Let’s help you with that now, as you can reference the betting odds above to reinforce the topics we are discussing.
Top Sportsbooks for NFL Betting.
The NFL is the cash cow in the United States betting business. This is the most popular sport with the biggest handles on a game-by-game basis. The handle is the total amount wagered on the game, FYI.
Each sportsbook is going to have different perks, promotions, and reasons to bet on the NFL with them. Some of our favorites at BetMGM, PointsBet, BetRivers, DraftKings, and William Hill.
Each state also has different approved sportsbooks, so you’ll want to see what is available in your jurisdiction.
NFL Spreads.
NFL Spreads.
Spread betting is the default setting and the most popular bet type when it comes to the NFL. The spread is essentially a handicap placed on the game that attempts to even out the two teams. We all know the Kansas City Chiefs are better than the Jacksonville Jaguars. The goal for the sportsbooks is to figure out how big that handicap needs to be in order to balance the betting action on both sides as well as possible.
All spreads also include “vigorish” or “vig”, sometimes known as “juice”. The standard for spread betting is -110, but risk managers at sportsbooks will often adjust the vig instead of the spread in hopes of enticing more action on the side that they need in order to balance the bet counts. If one side moves to -115, the other side will move to -105 in most cases.
The -110, or 11/10, is a wagering tax called the “house edge”. If sportsbooks balanced bets 50/50 on both sides, they would book all that action for nothing. The 11/10 gives them a margin called a theoretical hold, in that they’d pay out less than they would take in if both sides were bet equally.
At -110, you would bet $110 “To Win” $100. You could also bet “To Risk” $100 to win about $91. This is true of any bet amount.
NFL Money Lines.
NFL Money Lines.
Think of Money Line betting as playing a pick ‘em, but with vigorish. With money line wagering, you are trying to pick the winner. The difference is that instead of the vig at -110 or -115 or something like that, the vig will often be much higher. On the other hand, the plus odds will be a lot higher.
A -3 spread favorite in the NFL might be -160 or -170 on the money line. The spread correlates to the money line and the money line is an implied probability of the likelihood that team wins the game. In the NFL, a 7-point favorite will win roughly 70% of the time, so the money line is related to that implied probability, which is somewhere around -300.
The larger the favorite, the more juice on the money line. With a -300 favorite, you would have to bet $300 to win $100 or you could do something like $100 to win $33.33.
Remember that money lines increase in size based on how big of a favorite or an underdog a team is.
NFL Totals.
NFL Totals.
Totals in the NFL are also a very popular betting option. These are pretty simple to understand. This is an over/under bet based on the total number of points scored by both teams. If the total is 52 and the game ends 31-20, then the combined score is 51 and that game goes under the total. If the game ends 35-21, there were 56 points scored and the game goes over the total.
Totals often have vig like spreads, so you’ll see a standard of -110, but you will see -115, -120, and usually as high as -125 before the total line itself gets moved.
Totals in the NFL generally range from the high 30s to the high 50s, depending on the teams involved. That is different from college football, which can get totals up into the 80s.
NFL Prop Betting & Futures Betting.
NFL Prop Betting & Futures Betting.
Props and futures are extremely popular in the NFL. Some are a combination of both, with things like season win total odds or full-season player performance betting odds. Prop betting can take place on a weekly basis with over/under passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, touchdowns, receptions, and things like that. Basically, if you get points for it as a fantasy football category, somebody has a prop bet on it somewhere.
Futures betting means things like odds to win the Super Bowl, conference, division, or individual player or coach awards like MVP, Rookie of the Year, and Coach of the Year.
NFL Derivative (Quarter/Half) Betting.
NFL Derivative (Quarter/Half) Betting.
Derivative betting is very popular in the NFL as well. Some teams do really well in the first quarter with their scripted plays. Other teams are better in the second half when they make adjustments. You can bet on each quarter and bet on each half. Generally speaking, the derivative lines are fractions of the full game, so a spread of -14 might be -7 or -7.5 for the first half. A total of 52 might be 24.5 or 26.5 for the first half, depending on the teams, weather, etc.
Bet with your head, not over it. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem.


Super Bowl 2021 expert picks, odds, watch, live stream: Best bets against spread, more.
Here's where our experts are leaning heading into Super Bowl LV.
The moment has finally come: Super Bowl LV is here. It'll be the Tampa Bay Buccaneers playing a rare home game as they take on the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs with the winner hoisting the Lombardi Trophy. For the Buccaneers, they find themselves back at Raymond James Stadium after winning three road playoff games in a row, including a victory in the NFC title game against MVP candidate Aaron Rodgers and his Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. As for the Chiefs, they took down arguably the hottest team in football in the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game and are now looking to become the first team since the 2003-04 Patriots to win back-to-back titles.
Super Bowl LV is almost here, and you can watch it for free on the CBS Sports App.
Here, we're going to dive into all the different betting angles that this game has to offer and tell you our experts' take from a gambling scope. We'll also get an assist from our friends over at SportsLine, who have put together a fantastic and in-depth guide to all the Super Bowl LV player props. We will highlight a few below, but check out the full 26-page guide here.
Are you ready for Super Bowl LV? More importantly, are you ready to make some money? Let's get after it.
All NFL odds are via William Hill Sportsbook.
How to watch.
Date: Sunday , Feb. 7 | Time: 6:30 p.m. ET Location: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Fla.) TV: CBS | Stream: CBS Sports App.
Chiefs at Buccaneers spread picks.
"For most of this season, this Kansas City team didn't look as dominant as it did last year. But the Chiefs amped it up big time against the Bills. When Patrick Mahomes is cooking, they are almost impossible to stop. We know the Bucs and defensive coordinator Todd Bowles love to blitz, but that's suicide against Mahomes, who is the best in the league against the blitz. Injuries to both starting tackles for the Chiefs could mean less blitzing is needed, but I still think the Bucs will be true to who they are, which is an attack defense. That could and should mean a lot of big plays. -- Pete Prisco on how Kansas City edges out a 35-30 win over the Bucs.
"The only thing more impressive than Andy Reid off the bye is Patrick Mahomes off the bye. In his career as a starter, not only is Mahomes 7-0 coming off a bye, but the Chiefs have averaged 35.7 points per game in those seven wins. In Mahomes' career, the Chiefs have also averaged 33.3 points per game when playing a team for the second time during a season. I think what I'm trying to say here is that the Chiefs are going to score a lot of points and I'm not sure the Buccaneers are going to be able to keep up. The Chiefs have a chance to become the NFL's first repeat champion in 16 years and I think they're going to pull it off. " -- John Breech, who is 16-2 picking Chiefs games this year -- on why he likes them by a touchdown against Tampa Bay.
In his bold predictions piece for Super Bowl LV, CBS Sports' Cody Benjamin has Tom Brady and Mahomes combining for 800 (!) yards and six touchdown passes. To read the rest of Cody's bold predictions (plus a prediction for this game), click here.
"While the rare home-field advantage should help the Bucs, they also have a few intriguing trends leaning their way. Teams entering the Super Bowl with a worse record than their opponent have won 10 of the past 12 games. Tampa Bay went 11-5 over the regular season while K.C. claimed the No. 1 seed in the AFC at 14-2. The Chiefs had a tremendously successful season in terms of their actual record, but they went 8-10 ATS, which is currently tied for the second-worst cover percentage entering the Super Bowl. Teams who have previously entered the Super Bowl multiple games below .500 ATS lost (1997 Packers, 1979 Rams). " -- Tyler Sullivan explains why he likes the Buccaneers to edge out a 33-27 victory.
SportsLine's legendary handicapper Hammerin' Hank Goldberg enters Super Bowl LV on a 51-34 record on his NFL best bets over the past year-and-a-half. For this matchup, he has three best bets that he is coveting, including the "huge factor" why the Chiefs will not win this game. To find out what that is along with his other best bets for Super Bowl LV, head on over the SportsLine.




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