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п»їUFC MMA odds, lines, picks and betting tips.
By Joe Williams February 6, 2021 7:09 am.
By Joe Williams | February 6, 2021 7:09 am.
Overeem (47-18) is a veteran who always puts on a good show. This will be his fourth consecutive headliner event. He is coming off a fifth-round KO/TKO against Augusto Sakai Sept. 5, 2020 at this very same venue. In fact, it was his seventh straight fight which ended via KO/TKO, with four wins and three losses during the span. Since arriving at the highest level of MMA back on Dec. 30, 2011 in UFC 141’s main event against Brock Lesnar , 16 of his 19 fights ended by way of KO/TKO, with nine wins via knockout. Overeem has won three times via decision with no losses when the judges were involved, but that’s a rarity. You never need to worry about the submission with Overeem.
Volkov (32-8) enters the octagon with a 4.76 to 3.71 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, although he is slightly behind Overeem at 64.14 to 58.98 in significant strikes-accuracy percentage. Volkov is coming off a KO/TKO of his own, taking care of Walt Harris Oct. 24, 2020 in Round 2 at UFC 254. He has four KO/TKO results (3-1) across his past six bouts overall. This will be a brawl, and there is a more than good chance it ends like so many others for these two, with someone getting knocked out.
Alistair Overeem vs. Alexander Volkov: Betting odds, predictions and picks.
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:41 a.m. ET.
If you want to play it safe, and not play a particular fighter, just a result, look for KO/TKO/DQ ( -200 ) for the fight finish, and NO ( -250 ): “WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?”
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UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov Betting Odds.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov Odds & Analysis.
Date: Saturday, Feb. 6, 2021 TV-Time: ESPN/ESPN+, 8:00 p.m. ET Venue: UFC Apex Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States.
Let’s have a look at this fight from a bettor’s perspective.
We got an 8-year age discrepancy between the fighters, but I don’t think that will play into this fight.
Alistair Overeem is a bit of a statistical outlier when it comes to age, as he seems to have entered his UFC career’s peak in his last five fights. If not for that controversial last-second KO to Rozenstruik, Overeem would be on a 5-fight win streak, 3 of those wins as an underdog.
Historically in the heavyweight division, the underdogs have cashed more often than in any other weight division, giving us some value on Overeem. Alistair has shown his ability to upset the bookies before.
Alexander Volkov tends to use his reach to pick his competition apart from the outside and has no problem going to a decision to do so. In the UFC, half of his wins have come via decision, which is quite irregular for a heavyweight.
I usually like fighters who are statistical outliers and use it to their advantage in order to win. However, whether it’s a lack of power or simply a matter of game-planning, Volkov’s tendency to drag fights to a decision will not do him well against Overeem. On the contrary.
At this point in his career, Alistair’s biggest weakness is facing someone who can blitz him early and shut his lights off before he can settle and get into his rhythm. Once he gets going, his veteran experience and knowledge of the game often earn him the win.
Since 2015, Overeem has gone past the first round 9 times and has won 7 of those times.
If Volkov wants a drawn-out fight that goes into the championship rounds, he is doing Alistair a favor. The superior grappling of ‘The Demolition Man’ could very well be put on display if the fight goes the distance.
The value is on Alistair Overeem as the underdog in this matchup.
Overeem vs. Volkov Betting Odds.
Volkov remains a healthy -175 favorite over Overeem and we haven't seen much movement in this market after opening on January 13.
Overeem vs. Volkov Total Rounds.
While most betting shops are offering 1.5 Rounds for this heavyweight clash, BetMGM is providing three different options with adjusted money for the five-round fight.
The consensus feeling is that this fight won't make the championship rounds (4th, 5th) and should be over within 15 minutes.
Overeem vs. Volkov Betting Insights.
Age : Alexander Volkov is eight years younger than Alistair Overeem.
Experience : Since 2015, Overeem has won 7 out of 9 of his fights that have gone past round one.
Grappling : Overeem is the superior grappler in 3 of 4 statistical categories, only bested in takedown accuracy.
UFC Betting Odds History - Overeem vs. Volkov.
Alistair Overeem (Last 5)
Alexander Volkov (Last 5)
Overeem vs. Volkov Fight Breakdown and Pick.
The winner of this fight will be a step closer to a shot at the title.
While the scheduled bout between Ciryl Gane and Jairzinho Rozenstruik might determine who is the #1 ranked heavyweight, Overeem’s name recognition and -value will probably lead him to a title fight if he beats Volkov in impressive fashion. For Volkov, I see at least one or two more wins on top of Overeem if he wants a go at the champion.
Whoever can impose their gameplan on the other fighter will win this bout. Overeem will most likely look to grapple, whereas Volkov will look to keep the fight standing and finish Alistair. On the feet, Volkov has a higher striking differential than Overeem, but on the ground, ‘The Demolition Man’ will definitely be able to have his way with the Russian, granted he gets the fight there.
The problem I see for Volkov is that he is the one that has to prevent something from happening.
Overeem probably won’t have an issue standing with Volkov, but the Russian will have a problem on the ground with the underdog. I feel Volkov needs to pull a first-round KO out of the hat to win here, and I don’t see that happening based on the fact that he’s only managed one first-round KO in the last 6 years, and it wasn’t even in the UFC.
My early lean has me going with Overeem to cash as the underdog against Volkov.
UFC Fight Night - Co-Main Event Breakdown.
Cory Sandhagen vs. Frankie Edgar.
The co-main event of UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov features a classic veteran vs. up-and-comer matchup. Frankie Edgar, 39, made his UFC bantamweight debut in his last fight, earning an impressive underdog win over #8 ranked Pedro Munhoz. Edgar is 2-3 in his last 5.
On the other side of the cage, we’ve got 135-pound striking prospect Cory Sandhagen, who is coming off a second-round KO win over hard-hitting striker Marlon Moraes. Standing 5’1’’ tall, Sandhagen is unusually tall for the UFC’s bantamweight division, and will tower over the 5’6’’ Edgar.
A win over Edgar sets up Sandhagen for a bout against the winner of Petr Yan vs. Aljamain Sterling, while a win over Sandhagen throws Frankie Edgar into the title mix in his new weight division.
Join me in breaking down the co-main event of UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov, between Cory Sandhagen and Frankie Edgar.
Sandhagen vs. Edgar Betting Odds.
As expected, Sandhagen is a very large favorite over Edgar who could likely get underdog support from casual UFC bettors just based on his name.
Sandhagen vs. Edgar Betting Analysis.
The betting line being this wide tells me that bookies and bettors believe that Edgar is on his way out, and I don’t really disagree with that. Edgar is 39 years old and peaked back in 2010 when he captured and defended the lightweight title. Problem is, we are in 2021 now, and I feel like Edgar’s skill set hasn’t evolved since the 2010 era of UFC fighting.
Big reach and height advantages for Sandhagen, along with one of the highest striking differentials in the UFC today makes ‘Sandman’ the rightful favorite.
My only concern is Sandhagen’s lacklustre takedown defense. His mindset seems to be that he has no problem going to the ground because he believes in his ability to scramble back to his feet. That didn’t work well for him against Sterling, however, Edgar is not the same submission wiz, but can still grind out a lay-and-pray decision if Sandhagen is not careful.
Still, I see very few indications that Edgar is a valuable bet, and even at -400 I honestly believe the value is on the 11-year younger fighter, but not H2H. For value, I recommend looking at the Sandhagen by decision lines when they open.
Sandhagen vs. Edgar Betting Insights.
Age : Cory Sandhagen is 11 years younger than Frankie Edgar. In matchups with an 11-year gap, the youngster wins 7 out of 10 times.
Striking Wiz : Sandhagen has one of the highest active striking differentials in the UFC, meaning that he dishes out significantly more strikes compared to what he absorbs.
UFC Betting Odds History - Sandhagen vs. Edgar.
Cory Sandhagen (Last 5)
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer (L) Cory Sandhagen -111 vs. Aljamain Sterling -111.
Frankie Edgar (Last 5)
Sandhagen vs. Edgar Fight Breakdown and Pick.
While it's hard not to root for Edgar as the veteran he is, I can’t see him getting the W over Sandhagen on February 6th.
While lackluster on paper, Sandhagen’s takedown defense of 30% does not account for times he’s gotten back to his feet. Edgar can not win this fight by striking with Sandhagen. In order to win on the scorecards, Edgar would need control time upwards of 2.30 minutes in at least 3 of the 5 scheduled rounds.
Frankie could very well get the better of Sandhagen early on, but as the fight goes on I foresee panic wrestling from ‘The Answer’, and Sandhagen pulling ahead on the scorecards, utilizing his large striking toolbox.
I’m predicting that Sandhagen gets his hand raised against Frankie Edgar, in the co-main event of UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov, on February 6th.
UFC Fight Night (UFC Vegas 18) Fight Card.
Along with the two main events, there are currently nine other fights on tap for the UFC Fight Night card in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Listed below are the "opening odds" on those fights per the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.
Check out these numbers, then the updated odds to see where the money is going.
Odds & Card Subject to Change - Updated 2.4.21.


UFC Vegas 18 betting odds: Alexander Volkov expected to best Alistair Overeem.
Check out the betting odds for tonight’s UFC Vegas 18 card, where Alexander Volkov is favored over Alistair Overeem in the main event.
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It’s fight day for UFC Vegas 18, which is happening tonight (February 6th) from the promotion’s APEX facility in Las Vegas, Nevada. Top-10 heavyweights will grace the night’s main event spot when the #5 ranked, Alistair Overeem, tangles with the #6 rated, Alexander Volkov. Bloody Elbow is here to provide you the the betting lines for this collision of big men, as well as for the rest of the scheduled tussles.
LIVE! WATCH ‘UFC Vegas 18: ‘OVEREEM vs. VOLKOV ’ & Frankie Edgar vs Cory Sandhagen, & MORE! — February 6th., 2021! #SKIPtheSUPERBOWL.
Stream all the fights broadcast LIVE RIGHT HERE — don’t miss a single second of face-punching action!
Volkov’s straight up moneyline is currently holding a favored cost of -200, with a winning $100 bet paying out $150 altogether.
Sure, Alexander Volkov has alternated wins and losses in his last-five appearances, which starts to raise consistency questions, but he has still won eight out of his last ten matches. He’s also tougher than a $2 steak. Vitaly Minakov caught him way back in 2013, and then Derrick Lewis scored that bonkers comeback knockout back in 2018. Other than that though, Volkov’s chin has held up. It makes sense for the oddsmakers to view him as the more trustworthy option to get the dub here.
The truth is that yes, the longtime kickboxing/MMA veteran has been winning lately, but you never really know what you’re going to get with him. Overeem is MMA’s box of chocolates. With that being said, this fight would feel every bit of 50/50, except for the fact that Volkov holds the advantage in the durability department — and the chin is king at heavyweight. Also, why would anyone ever bet on this fight?
For an in-depth breakdown of each UFC Vegas 18 bout, check out The MMA Vivisection with Bloody Elbow’s own Zane Simon and Connor Ruebusch. Be sure to subscribe to our YouTube channel to stay up to date with all of our live video content. Stay glued to Bloody Elbow for all of your event coverage including play-by-play, results, highlights, and more! Happy hunting!


UFC Vegas 18 odds: Latest betting lines and gambling guide for ‘Overeem vs Volkov’
Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC Vegas 18, which is set to hit UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada, this weekend (Sat., Feb. 6, 2021), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!
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Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images.
After a three-card stint on “Fight Island,” the Octagon returns to UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, this Saturday (Feb. 6, 2021) with a pivotal Heavyweight clash in tow. In UFC Vegas 18’s main event, the venerable Alistair Overeem puts his two-fight win streak on the line against perennial contender Alexander “Drago” Volkov. Down at 135 pounds, former Lightweight champion, Frankie Edgar, looks to make it two straight at Cory Sandhagen’s expense and The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) winner, Macy Chiasson, faces Marion Reneau.
It’s a fine return to action after two weeks away, and one we can profit from. Here’s how:
UFC continues its live events schedule from Las Vegas on Feb. 6 with its “Overeem vs. Volkov”-led fight card available to stream RIGHT HERE — don’t miss a single second of face-punching action!
Up Next! ‘Reem Team Heads Back To Vegas!
What Went Wrong at UFC 257 ?
Too many eggs in one painfully inconsistent basket. I really should have known better than to trust Khalil Rountree, even against the likes of Marcin Prachnio. In my defense, the article came out before his weight cut issues came to light. It’s a damn shame about Dan Hooker, though. It still shocks me that Michael Chandler was able to floor him with one punch when Dustin Poirier carpet-bombed “The Hangman” to no effect. I’m slapping an extra hypothetical $300 onto the hypothetical money pile. Let’s turn this around .
UFC Vegas 18 Odds For The Undercard:
Predictions! UFC Vegas 18 ‘Prelims’ Preview - Pt. 1.
Predictions! UFC Vegas 18 ‘Prelims’ Preview - Pt. 2.
Thoughts: As one-sided as it is, this undercard is full of bargains, namely Timur Valiev, Lara Procopio and Youssef Zalal.
Valiev was almost even money against initial foe Julio Arce, and while -335 is a far cry from -125, he’s still worth an investment. The guy’s still an incredible fighter despite that debut loss, and Day has dropped three straight. Valiev has the kickboxing skill to keep up on the feet and is by far the better wrestler, making him a safe investment.
Molly McCann’s defensive wrestling has failed her in both of her Octagon losses, and she’s largely had to rely on her offensive wrestling against low-level Flyweights in her wins. Not only is Procopio significantly superior on the mat, but she’s a skilled enough striker to hold her own a weight class up against Karol Rosa.
She’s fefinitely a solid underdog investment.
Seung Woo Choi has fought two quality UFC opponents (Movsar Evloev and Gavin Tucker) and one very, very bad one (Suman Mokhtarian), The quality duo combined to land 10 takedowns on him, and considering Zalal’s willingness and ability to drag opponents to the mat, that’s a death sentence. Choi doesn’t even figure to have much of an edge on the feet, as Zalal’s length, durability, and savvy make landing a knockout shot a borderline impossible task. “The Moroccan Devil” should be a much larger favorite, so make sure you’re in position to punish the bookies for their error.
UFC Vegas 18 Odds For The Main Card:
Edgar Believes Finish Over Sandhagen Earns Him UFC Title Shot.
Reem Will ‘Retire Immediately’ After Winning Title.
Thoughts: Alistair Overeem, Alexandre Pantoja and Cody Stamann are your investments of choice.
I’m genuinely not clear on why Alexander Volkov is the favorite against Overeem. That’s because “Drago’s” best wins came over Fabricio Werdum and Walt Harris, both of whom Overeem also defeated, and looks to struggle against the Dutchman’s mobile striking offense. On top of that, Volkov has yet to fully address the grappling issues that have plagued him throughout his UFC career, presenting another tempting target for the well-rounded Overeem.
In short, the veteran is a definitely worth your time.
Manel Kape has looked like a monster in his last few Rizin bouts, but those came against opponents willing to oblige him in the stand up. The last time he faced a capable grappling specialist, “Ulka” Sasaki dominated him on the mat. Pantoja is tough as nails and a hugely dangerous submission artist, giving him the tools necessary to spoil Kape’s Octagon debut.
Stamann, meanwhile, was -310 against Andre Ewell, which if anything undersold the stylistic nightmare he posed to “Mr. Highlight.” He’s still a bargain at -380 against Octagon newcomer Askar Askar, not to be confused with Flyweight contender Askar Askarov. Askar is an okay wrestler with painfully bad striking defense that Stamann should have little issue exploiting, making “The Spartan” a reliable anchor.
UFC Vegas 18 Best Bets:
Parlay — Youssef Zalal and Alistair Overeem: Bet $40 to make $107.20 Parlay — Timur Valiev and Lara Procopio: Bet $30 to make $61.50 Parlay — Cody Stamann and Alexandre Pantoja: Bet $40 to make $49.20.
UFC Vegas 18 is a damn strong card and a perfect return to form after UFC’s January blitz. Don’t miss it. See you Saturday, Maniacs!
To check out the latest and greatest UFC Vegas 18: “Overeem vs. Volkov” news and notes be sure to hit up our comprehensive event archive right here .


UFC 69 betting tips and advice from Desert Dog.
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Long time no see . Desert Dog here back to offer some betting tips for tomorrow's pay-per-view (PPV) action.
The fights just keep on coming. And today, I'm going to whip out a new option for those of you who like to bet on these fights:
It's often viewed by professional bettors as a poor bet because obviously the odds of making multiple correct bets is low. However, with fight cards like this in which you have more than one lopsided bout, bets on multiple fights can be strung together into a single bet (parlay) reducing your overall exposure.
Another option is to use one very lopsided bout (i.e. St. Pierre vs. Serra) and combine it with other bets you were already planning to make. Even with the ridiculously high odds of -1000, adding this to a two-fight parlay bet will improve the odds on the closer bout.
Before I hit the individual match ups I want to say that I really like the three-bet parlay here at -138. And personally, I'm doubling my normal bet size for this one. There could be a lot of movement on these odds so choose wisely.
As always, if you are going to bet only play with what you are willing to lose.
That's because George "Rush" St. Pierre has beaten a slew of top fighters in the 170-pound division en route to the belt . and he only appears to be improving. His game is extremely well-rounded and topped off with exceptional conditioning. So, how does someone beat George? He has to make a mistake and his opponent has to capitalize immediately.
Matt Serra is a world class Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt and consummate professional. He has shown the ability to capitalize on weaknesses and has hung with some of the top fighters in the world. That is what he will likely do with St Pierre -- hang in there. Matt's a smart and expereinced fighter -- he knows where his strengths lie and will look to keep the fight close and preferably on the ground. That's a tall order and even if he gets it, George is solid in any position.
The pick here is obviously St. Pierre, but the odds are too high for a straight bet. It is, however, a great pick to use in a parlay. It sounds like some strange late night product pitch -- take any pick and add a dash of GSP parlay to improve your odds by 25 percent.
Since their last meeting both have improved significantly. Sanchez has become a complete fighter, continues to train with Greg Jackson's camp, and is ranked by many as the number three welterweight in the UFC.
Koscheck -- who trains at the American Kickboxing Academy (AKA) -- has been on a tear of his own, winning all four of his 2006 fights. His greatest strength continues to be his wrestling, but he has added a greater ability to finish on the ground with both submissions and good ole' "ground 'n pound." He's also showed some changes in his standup game, throwing huge (Liddell style) overhands and hooks. Koscheck has yet to finish and opponent with them, however, and his technique still looks open and a bit wild. But, if he can land one he could easily walk away with the upset.
I'm betting on Sanchez to finish this in the second round with a knee followed by a G'nP technical knockout. My play is to Parlay GSP (-1000) with Diego Sanchez (-240) -- the odds for the parlay bet are (-179). This is a great way to improve the odds on Sanchez.
Mike "Quick" Swick trains at AKA with the likes of Josh Koscheck and Jon Fitch. His two most resent wins over Joe Riggs and David Loiseau have put him in line for a title shot . However, he's going to have to get through Okami first. Mike's finished most of his fights "quick" with six of his wins coming in the first round via three technical knockouts and three submissions.
Yushin Okami has a solid record but has yet to face stiff competition in the UFC. His three wins here were over Kalib Starnes, Rory Singer and Alan Belcher -- not exactly an all-star line up. He does have a win over Anderson Silva in 2006, but it was only because he got knocked out with an illegal kick from the ground (Silva believed it was legal).
Watching Okami fight, he shows a lot of the same attributes you see in Swick -- fast and accurate standup, as well as great angles, but he's missing the submission skills. Okami often shoots on other stand up fighters trying work the ground 'n pound. If he tries this with Swick, he might take a nap with a large knee imprint on his head or find out how good Mike's submission game is. On the feet this should be a high speed fight with a lot of great exchanges.
In the end, Mike has the momentum and overall skill and should win this fight. My quick pick is Swick by second round technical knockout (knee to the head). A two-fight parlay with GSP will give you odds of -106.
"The Talent" is looking at this fight as a chance to take back what was denied him when he wasn't cast in TUF 3. Alan's strength is his standup game and he's looking to get inside Grove's long reach to control this fight with inside striking, pushing to a ground and pound finish.
This should be a very interesting fight and it will be Grove's biggest test yet. I see Kendall controlling the standup with his reach on the outside and knees on the inside. When the fight turns to the ground Kendall will have to be very active from his back to swing the decision in his favor. Close but I give Kendall the edge and a win by decision. No bet for me on this one.
Leonard Garcia -- a UFC newbie -- won his last eight fights primarily in the Ring of Fire organization. Seven of his nine victories have come via submission. Garcia's fought just twice in the past three years, however. He was originally slated to face Spencer Fisher at UFC 60, but had to pull out because of an injury. Leonard definitely hasn't shown anything recently to suggest he's ready for a fight at this level.
Brad Imes has yet to pull off a victory in the UFC, has been out for nearly a year, and oddly enough is in for his hardest fight yet. I'll be honest -- I have nothing good to say about Brad other than he's big. Brad's style is slow, lumbering and wide open. Imes is completely outclassed in this fight.
The odds makers see this fight going differently.
Pete Sell -- who trains with Matt Serra -- has only lost by way of knockout (except the Lutter lay and pray). Most of Pete's wins have gone to the judges and the rest have been submissions. The man loves to bang and showed it in the amazing battle with Scott Smith.
So where will this fight go?
Thales will start this bout just like the Kampman fight -- looking to take it to the ground where he feels dominant. But, don't forget Sell's favorite move -- the guillotine. Pete has enough Brazilian jiu-jitsu skill to possibly stalemate Thales on the ground. And, if he takes the bait and moves the fight back to the feet it could turn into a real slugfest. I see this fight going either way and think the odds for Leites are really out of line. Hamma' fist Drago . I'm backing you man. Pete Sell by submission is my lone dog pick for the night.
Pete Spratt is a great athlete and a well rounded fighter in his own right. He unfortunately fought Carlos Newton, St. Pierre, Chris Lytle and Koscheck in the last five years. And those losses seem to have really affected the mental side of his game. His desire to fight has waxed and waned. Last year, it looked like more of the same after TUF 4. A win over Jeremy Jackson gave him a boost of confidence, but he still doesn't trust his ground game.
This one is definitely a bigger bite than Spratt can handle right now. Davis pounds out a technical knockout on the ground, but I'm leaving these odds alone -- no bet on this one either.
Josh "The really big smurf" Haynes has lost four of his last five fights. He's got one finishing move -- the guillotine -- accounting for six of his seven wins. If he can't wrap that around an opponent's neck he's likely to stick out a gutsy performance . for a loss.
Cummo wins -- God please anything but another decision. No bet for me on this one.




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