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п»їNFL odds, lines, picks, predictions for Week 5, 2020: Proven model backing Steelers, Rams.
SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 5 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results.
The latest Week 5 NFL odds from William Hill show several potentially tight matchups as teams begin to show whether they're contenders or pretenders. The Browns are off to a surprising 3-1 start, but they're only one-point favorites in the latest NFL Vegas lines at home against the Colts. The Falcons are trying to overcome a slow start to the season, and they're going off as 2.5-point favorites over the Carolina Panthers, one of the slimmest NFL betting lines of the week.
Which NFL point spreads should you target on the Week 5 NFL schedule? And is the value in larger NFL spreads like Bengals at Ravens (-11.5)? All of the Week 5 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 5 NFL picks now.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,300 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago.
It's off to a strong 7-4 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 5 on an incredible 103-69 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has examined the latest Week 5 NFL odds and NFL betting lines, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.
Top NFL predictions for Week 5.
One of the top Week 5 NFL predictions the model recommends: The Steelers (-7 at William Hill) cover the spread at home against the Eagles. Pittsburgh got an unexpected bye in Week 4 when its game against the Titans was postponed due to positive COVID-19 tests for Tennessee. Philadelphia, meanwhile, limps into this game with a lengthy injury list and just one win in 2020.
The Eagles are just 1-3 against the spread thus far in 2020, while Pittsburgh has covered twice in three games. The Steelers piled up 169 yards on the ground in Week 6 against the Texans, and that success bodes well for their chances in this matchup since Pittsburgh is 13-3-1 against the number in its last 17 games after it had 150-plus rushing yards in the prior matchup. The model is calling for the Steelers to win by double-digits as they cover in almost 60 percent of simulations.
Another one of the top Week 5 NFL picks from the model: The Rams (-7.5) cover as road favorites against Washington. Head coach Ron Rivera announced that Washington will bench Dwayne Haskins Jr. and start Kyle Allen against the Rams. Haskins threw for a season-high 314 yards last week against the Ravens, but that wasn't enough to keep his starting job.
The Rams, meanwhile, struggled to find consistency on offense in their 17-9 victory over the winless New York Giants last week, gaining just 240 total yards on offense. Despite their subdued performance against New York last week, Sean McVay's team will enter Sunday's contest full of confidence. That's because the Rams are averaging 397.3 yards on offense, which ranks seventh in the NFL. Washington's defense, meanwhile, is giving up 28.0 points per game, which ranks in the bottom half of the league.
SportsLine's model projects Jared Goff will throw for 275 yards, while Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp combine for almost 150 receiving yards against Washington, resulting in Los Angeles covering the spread in well over 50 percent of simulations.
How to make Week 5 NFL picks.
The model also has made the call on every other game on the Week 5 NFL schedule. It's also identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard. You can only get every pick for every game here.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 5? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,300 on its top-rated NFL picks.


NFL Week 5 lines, picks: Lookahead spread for Buccaneers-Bears and other lines with great value.
Looking ahead at some of the most intriguing Week 5 bets.
One of the largest spreads heading into Week 4 is the Los Angeles Rams being 13-point favorites over the New York Giants. Daniel Jones and Co. just lost by 27 points to the San Francisco 49ers' backups, and appear to be an absolute mess right now. While it's not debated who will win this matchup on Sunday, the spread is a different question. Covering 13 points isn't easy, but wouldn't you rather have placed money on it when it was LAR -9.5? That's why you pay attention to the lookahead lines.
Every Friday, we take a look at the NFL lines a week and a half in advance to determine if we should put money down now in order to get the best bang for our buck. Depending on what happens in Week 4, all of these lines could change before we reach Week 5, so we want to go ahead and get our bets in if we see a nice opportunity for an upset or to jump on a favorite before the line moves even more in their favor.
Before we jump in to some early bets to consider, here are the lookahead lines for Week 5. All odds come courtesy of William Hill Sportsbook.
Which teams will cover the spread in Week 4? Pete Prisco, R.J. White and SportsLine's Kenny White join host Will Brinson to break down their best bets and size up every game; listen below and be sure to subscribe for daily NFL goodness fired into your eardrums.
Week 5 lookahead lines.
Picks to consider.
Buccaneers -3 at Bears.
Full disclosure, I actually picked the Bears to upset the Colts this week. Even if they do, this line could move more in favor of the Buccaneers. Tom Brady and the Bucs are favored by a touchdown over the Chargers, and touchdown favorites are 11-3 against the spread (79%) this season, which is the best mark through Week 3 since 1990. The Chargers are one of just three teams yet to go over their total, and they just lost cornerback Chris Harris to injured reserve. He joins the likes of Melvin Ingram, Derwin James, Justin Jones and Mike Pouncey, so yes, this Chargers team is pretty beat up. I believe this line will grow by next week, so I'll jump on the Buccaneers right now.
Giants at Cowboys -11.5.
This is a big spread, but I still might jump on it right now. The Cowboys take on the Browns this week, who are above .500 for the first time since 2014 with a 2-1 record. This doesn't really feel like an accomplishment, however, as they defeated the Bengals and Washington over the past two weeks. While the Cowboys are 1-2, they have the most explosive offense in the league is going up against a sub-par secondary this week. Cleveland is on a seven-game road losing streak against the spread, which is tied for the third-longest streak over the last 10 seasons. The Browns have lost each game during this streak by five-plus points, so I'm rolling with Dallas to cover on Sunday.
So why should you jump on the Week 5 Cowboys line right now? We already mentioned in the intro that there's a chance the Giants don't cover against the Rams on Sunday. Additionally, the Cowboys have beaten the Giants by at least 18 points in their last two matchups, and Mike McCarthy understands that every divisional win could matter in the NFC East.
Cardinals (- at Jets.
This spread is now off the board since the Jets played the Broncos on "Thursday Night Football," but it's going to reopen even more in favor of the Cardinals. Sam Darnold was virtually out-dueled by a quarterback making his first NFL start, as the Jets were beaten by a team that has been ravaged by injuries, 37-28. The Jets have lost every game this season by at least nine points, so consider taking the Cardinals whenever this line reopens.


NFL odds, picks, predictions for Week 5: Proven computer model loving Giants, Chargers.
SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 5 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results.
When starting quarterback Mitchell Trubisky went down with a left shoulder injury on the first drive of last week's NFC North matchup with the Minnesota Vikings, it appeared as if the Chicago Bears might be in trouble. However, backup Chase Daniel held down the fort with Trubisky on the sideline and the Bears' defense dominated on the way to a 16-6 win. This week, the team travels to London to take on the Oakland Raiders at 1 p.m. ET and will be without Trubisky once again. However, Chicago is still listed as a 5.5-point favorite in the latest Week 5 NFL odds, with the total at 40.5 for NFL London 2019. Meanwhile, the Giants have ruled out running back Saquon Barkley at home against Minnesota, but are still 5.5-point underdogs. And in an AFC North rumble, the Steelers are 3.5-point underdogs at home against the Ravens, one of the tightest NFL lines of the week. NFL odds will continue to shift as kickoffs approach and NFL weather becomes clearer. Before you make any NFL predictions, be sure to see the Week 5 NFL picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch for the third year in a row on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Rookie quarterback Daniel Jones is 2-0 straight-up and against the spread as the Giants' starter. Those wins came against the Buccaneers and Redskins, however, two of the league's lower-ranked passing defenses. He'll be tested against the Vikings, the league's No. 5 overall scoring defense. The model says that Jones piles up around 250 yards through the air as the Giants cover in over 50 percent of simulations. There's also plenty of value on the under (43.5) because that hits almost 70 percent of the time.
Another one of the Week 5 NFL picks from the model: the Chargers cover as 6.5-point home favorites against the Broncos on Sunday.
Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET, and Pro Bowl running back Melvin Gordon could see his first action after ending his holdout and then sitting on the bench last week as an emergency option with Justin Jackson injured. That gives the Chargers serious firepower out of the backfield, with Gordon scoring 38 total touchdowns the last three seasons and Ekeler scoring six times in the first four games.
Los Angeles' offense won't have to deal with defensive end Bradley Chubb off the edge this weekend either, as he was placed on injured reserve after suffering a torn ACL last week against the Jaguars. That's a big reason why the model has the Chargers covering the 6.5-point spread in nearly 60 percent of its simulations. The Under (44.5) also hits in well over half of the model's NFL projections.
The model also has a strong pick for the battle between the Cowboys and Packers, and is calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard this week. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 5? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks.


NFL picks, predictions for Week 5: Seahawks stop Vikings; Bills, Browns stay hot.
Week 5 of the NFL season is all about not looking ahead.
The Bills meet the Titans in a battle of unbeaten teams, and Buffalo has a chance to improve to 5-0 before a "Thursday Night Football" game against the Chiefs. Don't look ahead .
The Steelers are back in action against the Eagles, and they can improve to 4-0 before a matchup against the Browns in Week 6. Don't look ahead .
The Seahawks can become the only 5-0 team in the NFC against the Vikings on "Sunday Night Football" before a two-game stretch against division opponents in the Cardinals and 49ers. Don't look ahead .
We're looking forward to Week 5, which starts with Tom Brady on "Thursday Night Football" at Soldier Field.
With that as the mind, below are our picks and predictions for Week 5 of the NFL season. As always, our point spreads are courtesy of Sports Insider.
NFL predictions for Week 5.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-5.5) at Chicago Bears.
Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network, Fox.
We get a much better "Thursday Night Football" matchup in Week 5. Tom Brady has eight TDs and two interceptions the last two weeks, and he'll face a challenge against a Bears defense that has limited quarterbacks to a 74.4 quarterback rating so far. Does Chicago have enough offense in this one?
Pick: Buccaneers 24, Bears 23.
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (-3.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Panthers are on a two-game winning streak, and they have a chance to break a five-game losing streak to the Falcons. Carolina has not won at Atlanta since 2015. The fourth quarter should be high entertainment, but streaks are meant to be broken.
Pick: Panthers 30, Falcons 27.
Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-11.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Raiders have a high-scoring offense, too, but the Chiefs won last year's matchup at Arrowhead Stadium 40-9. Kansas City presents too many problems for a Las Vegas defense that has just four sacks in four games.
Pick: Chiefs 35, Raiders 22.
Arizona Cardinals (-6.5) at New York Jets.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox.
The Cardinals have lost back-to-back games, but a trip to New York should get Kyler Murray pointed back in the right direction. The Jets rank 31st in the NFL in scoring offense, and Sam Darnold is questionable for the game with a shoulder injury. Is it Joe Flacco time?
Pick: Cardinals 28, Jets 20.
Philadelphia Eagles at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox.
The Steelers and Eagles meet in a Keystone State rivalry, and it's going to come down to which team can protect the quarterback better. The teams have combined for 32 sacks this season. Pittsburgh takes advantage of the unplanned bye week — and the Eagles' turnover ratio — to improve to 4-0.
Pick: Steelers 27, Eagles 19.
Los Angeles Rams (-9) at Washington Football Team.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox.
The Rams sputtered in a 17-9 victory against the Giants, but it gets well against a Washington team that has lost by two TDs or more each of the last three weeks and has quarterback questions again.
Pick: Rams 30, Redskins 14.
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (-13.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
Joe Burrow picked up his first victory as a starter in Week 4 and is looking to add to a streak of three straight 300-yard games. The other side is the issue for Cincinnati in this one. Lamar Jackson has a 71 percent completion and two 100-yard rushing games in three career starts against the Bengals.
Pick: Ravens 34, Bengals 20.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (-6.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Texans continue to spiral out of control, and a minus-5 turnover ratio isn't helping matters for Bill O'Brien. Jacksonville has given up 30-plus points in their last three losses, but they find a way to pull the upset on the road in a shootout.
Pick: Jaguars 30, Texans 27.
Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers (-8.5)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, Fox.
We're tempted to take Miami in this one, especially with the rash of injuries in San Francisco. The 49ers, however, bounce back at home, especially if Jimmy Garoppolo returns from a high-ankle sprain. The 49ers win, but it's closer than expected.
Pick: 49ers 27, Dolphins 23.
Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) at Cleveland Browns.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Browns upset the Cowboys but are still not getting the respect from the oddsmakers. Some of that is because of Baker Mayfield's 2-11 record against winning teams as a starter, but the Browns keep that momentum moving in the right direction at home with another big victory.
Pick: Browns 28, Colts 24.
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-9.5)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox.
This game normally fills the SNF window, but the miserable starts on both sides continue. The Cowboys have the third-best scoring offense and third-worst scoring defense. It won't matter against a New York team that won't be able to take advantage of the bad run defense enough.
Pick: Cowboys 33, Giants 23.
Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks (-7)
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
The Seahawks continue to roll with MVP-candidate Russell Wilson. Minnesota can make it interesting if Kirk Cousins continues to work effectively with Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen, but it won't matter on the road. Seattle is 4-0 against the spread this season.
Pick: Seahawks 36, Vikings 24.
Denver Broncos at New England Patriots (-11)
Monday, 5 p.m. ET, ESPN.
Both teams have quarterback questions here. Will Drew Lock be back from injury? Will Cam Newton be cleared after testing positive for COVID-19? New England is the better team, and this game makes us long for the days of Tom Brady vs. Peyton Manning.
Pick: Patriots 28, Broncos 19.
Los Angeles Chargers at New Orleans Saints.
Monday, 8:15 p.m., ESPN.
The Saints' last two prime-time experiences were not great, but the third time is the charm against a reeling Los Angeles team that might be without Austin Ekeler. Drew Brees and the Saints stay on track with a second straight victory.
Pick: Saints 30, Chargers 20.
Buffalo Bills (-8.5) at Tennessee Titans.
Tuesday, 7 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Bills have a chance to improve to 5-0, against a Titans team that has been affected by COVID-19. Forget about the "Music City Miracle" replays. The Bills improve to 5-0 heading into a Week 6 TNF showdown with the Chiefs. That's a big line on the road.




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