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sports betting chart 2 years 9 months ago #34610

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п»їSports Betting Indicators.
College Basketball.
College Basketball is one of the workhorses for the professional sports bettor. Once the season starts in November, hundreds of teams play about two games a week — vying for a spot in the Final Four. This frenzy leading into March Madness means that there are college hoop games almost every day of the week — and especially Saturdays! Lots of opportunity…and lots of data overload. This makes college hoops a slightly different animal. We’ll review some of the sports betting tools that might help you wade through the oceans of data.
Betting Against the Public and Square Plays.
Betting Against the Public has proven to work across all of the major sports. Its consistency is remarkable; we have seen that Betting Against the Public and Sports Insights’ Square Plays have consistently won in the 54%-57% range, on average. As we know, winning streaks and losing streaks happen. For example, last year was a difficult year for many professionals in the NFL, as it has been called “The Year of the Favorites.” This year, the NFL has bounced back strongly, with Sports Insights’ Square Plays achieving 69% winning percentage!
Number of Bets.
SportsInsights shows numerous indicators, with Betting Percentages being its most popular. We agree that Betting Percentages are very useful at helping to uncover value in the sports marketplace. We also feel, however, that other sports betting indicators – such as the Number of Bets and Line Movement – are important as well. At Betting Charts, we feel that this is particularly true in sports such as College Basketball. There are just SO many games, that this indicator can help to drive you to the games that the public is following most. We performed a test to look at how this factor can help improve results.
Using a simple system that typically takes College Hoops underdogs, we overlaid a filter that played only the top 1/3 of games in terms of number of bets. The winning percentage increased by more than 2%! This makes sense because games with public interest will lead to overpriced favorites. The moral of the story: if you are Betting Against the Public, focus on the games where there is a lot of Public interest.
Line Moves.
Smart Money Techniques.
Summary.
Disclaimer.
We do not guarantee that the trends and biases we’ve found will continue to exist. It is impossible to predict the future. Any serious academic research in the field of “market efficiencies” recognizes that inefficiencies may disappear over time. Once inefficiencies are discovered, it is only a matter of time before the market corrects itself. We do not guarantee our data is error-free. However, we’ve tried our best to make sure every score and percentage is correct.


Sports Betting Charts.
Wednesday, December 25, 2013.
Soccer - Converting 1x2 Moneyline Into Asian Handicap.
True Odds, A [1]
Notes and Sources [1] To find true odds of Team B, use the following equation: 1-TO(A|X).
Tuesday, November 26, 2013.
NBA - Home Win Probability Using SRS.
The following equations can be used to determine true money-line and true point spreads for the NBA. The basis of them are using Adjusted Simple Rating System (aSRS), which can be calculated by:
Where: aSRS = adjusted simple rating system G = games played SRS = simple rating system Simple Rating System—from what I've seen—is only published on Basketball-Reference, and is calculated by adding the team's margin of victory and strength of schedule. Justin Kubatko of Statitudes compiled the results of the 1976–1977 through 2012–2013 NBA seasons using aSRS, and created the following logit equation to predict the probability of the home team winning:
Where: e = Euler's number, the base of natural logarithm dSRS = Home team's aSRS – Away team's aSRS This answer will produce a decimal (i.e. 0.5277) which can be multiplied by 100 to get the implied probability (i.e. 52.77%). This implied probability can be converted into a true money-line by using a convertor. Finally, this probability can be converted into a point spread using the following equation:
NFL Playoff Predictions - Week 12.
Methodology: At NFL-Forecast, there is a program that uses a monte carlo simulator to simulate the remainder of the season 5,000 times. It also takes the team efficiency ratings from Advanced NFL Stats .


Sports betting chart.
Who Does the Public Like? The following feature monitors wagering activity at many of the largest online sportsbooks. These "betting percentages" represent actual wagers placed on each game at the participating sportsbooks. This data is delayed 30 mins. Click on the linear graph feature located on the right-hand side to view stats over a 24-hr period. The information is intended to give bettors a deeper understanding of the sports marketplace.
Top NFL Public Bets.
NFL Predictions & Picks.
Recent Discussions.
Follow Us!
THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.
Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.


Odds conversion table with probability.
By convention only a set of fractions are used in fractional odds betting markets. The set does not include exact mathematical equivalents to all possible decimal and American odds. We use the closet fraction that is used in betting markets.
For example, the exact mathematical equivalent of decimal odds 30 is fractional odds 29/1. However 29/1 is not used in betting markets, instead 30/1 is used, so that is what appears in this converter.
For an explanation of the odds types on this table see decimal, fractional and American odds. To find out what the numbers really represent see understand odds as probability with overround.


How to Play Super Bowl Betting Squares.
This is a fun, random betting game for a large Super Bowl party. If you’re hosting friends and family for a fun Super Bowl viewing party, you’ll want to include this as part of the fun. Everyone (even the grandams, aunties, and non-football fans) will rave about how much fun this is. It’ll take some convincing at first. But the people who toss $5-$20 into this fun Super Bowl betting game will be happy they did. And your hardcore sports betting friends won’t have an advantage. This isn’t an over-under bet. You’re not choosing sides. It’s pure random fun.
How Super Bowl Betting Squares Work.
All the money put in the pot will be distributed by the end of the game. So all $100 that goes in will end up in random players’ pockets. This means Grandma might win $15, and niece Lily could be the big winner with $35. Big John might only get $5, and many will win nothing. But when you see you Grandma rooting for a Chiefs field-goal in the 3rd quarter because it means she’d win another $5, you’ll know you’ve just upped your Super Bowl Party level to Pro. Here’s how to create a fun 10×10 square Super Bowl betting squares chart that’s fun for everyone who plays.
Materials.
Poster board Magic marker (black, permanent) Deck of cards (or random numbers 0-9) Basket, hat, or bowl (for the money)
Set-up.
Draw lines dividing the poster board into 11 x 11 squares (draw 10 lines horizontal, and 10 vertical). Pro-tip: Leave a little space on the top and left edge to write the team names. Write the team names. On the top edge write one Team Name (49ers), on the left edge write the other Team Name (Chiefs) Have people ‘buy squares’ for $1 each. The total pot will be $100 if you fill up the board. Pro-tip: Try really hard to fill-up the board. Buy all the empty squares leftover for yourself if you have to. If you don’t fill up the board it’s okay. If an empty square wins, then nobody gets paid. Everyone will be disappointed and maybe they’ll buy more squares next year! 😉 People write their names in any of the inside 10×10 squares (it’s random). Just write your name in any square. $1/square. Pro-tip: Fill the squares before kick-off. If people will arrive after kick-off, call them beforehand. Have them commit $5 or $10 to squares and you can write their names in for them beforehand. Remember, it’s random anyway, so there’s no disadvantage. They could still end up big winners! This is fun for everyone. Add the numbers to the top row and left column. IMPORTANT: the numbers are filled in AFTER all the names are written in the squares. This keeps it random, and allows everyone to have an equal, random chance of winning. Use the deck of cards to draw random numbers for each square in the top row and left column. Fill them in with numbers 0-9 (yes, include 0). Don’t do it in order. Make it random!
How to Pay Out for the Betting Board.
There are a few different ways to pay out for the betting squares game. Regardless of whether you want to pay out less frequently, or more frequently, you’re going to pay out the chart based on the random numbers (0-9) that match a square (and person’s name in that square). As the score gets higher, you’ll use the one’s digit of the score to determine the number. See the detailed example pay out below.
Some people like to pay out only at the end of each quarter. This means the total pot can be divided by 4. So if you sell 80 (of the 100) squares, you could pay out $20 at the end of the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th quarters. You could also weight the final score (4th quarter) more heavily. Pay out $10 for the score at the end of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd, while saving the highest pay out for the final score.
My preferred method is to pay out $5 for every score change . Whoever had the numbers for half-time got $10. Then, whatever was left in the pot at the end of the game got the rest for the final score! The benefit of this more frequent pay-out schedule is that more people win and end up interested in the game. Even your Aunt who just came for the gossip and commercials will be rooting for a team to kick a field goal. haha This was the way that I played growing up at my Godfather’s Super Bowl party.
Make sure everyone knows that whoever has square 0, 0 wins $5 at kick-off! Then, when the score changes, whoever has the square for that score wins $5! This happens each time there’s a field goal, a touchdown, a point-after touchdown, a safety, or a 2-point conversion. Each time the number changes, somebody gets paid.
Yes, a touchdown should result in two $5 pay outs. Five dollars for the 6-point change (touchdown), and $5 for the 1-point change (PAT)! This way touchdowns are more exciting than field goals. Just like in the game. And whoever has the number with the PAT will be pissed if the kicker misses. haha.
Example Pay Out.
If the 49ers score a field goal first (3 pts), then whoever has 49ers 3, Chiefs 0 wins $5 (Sally in the pic)!
Then, let’s say the Chiefs reply by scoring a touchdown (6 pts). Whoever’s name is written in the square with 49ers 3, Chiefs 6 wins $5. Naturally, the Chiefs will likely kick a PAT (point after touchdown, 1 pt). So whoever has 49ers 3, Chiefs 7 ALSO wins $5!
This style of Super Bowl betting pool is fun because many people can win money ! People who may not have been interested in the game become interested when there’s a chance that one of their squares might win!
At my Godfather’s Super Bowl party, it’s always funny to see some old lady (who doesn’t usually care about football) rooting for one team to kick a field goal, because the resulting score will win her $5 ! It’s fun for all ages, makes the game a little more interesting, and is not too difficult to set-up! So, create a Super Bowl betting pool for your Super Bowl party and get everybody involved!
Like this article? Explore more.
Thanks for stopping by. If you like this article, explore some more. I also write about saving money and investing for your future. Come on back after the Super Bowl and I’d love to help you become a millionaire with all your Super Bowl winnings! Oh yeah, good luck and have fun.




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